As the bar charts show (Figure 7), the increase in households and jobs within a half-mile of train stations (generated by a GIS buffer) varies by corridor and scenario. The difference in job growth with the mixed-use Plan is greater than Trends for both the rail and bus alternatives.
Figure 7
How does all this transfer into Ridership?
FIGURE 8
There is an obvious correlation between those corridors with high housing and job characteristics and the ridership projections (Figure 8). The increase in ridership because of the Plan's corridor land use recommendations averages around 17%, a significant contribution. When ridership is broken out into bus or rail alternative's, BRT in all cases realizes slightly higher ridership for the alternatives tested than rail (Figure 9). FIGURE 9
Extensive sensitivity testing analyzed the impacts of increasing intensities of residential only, employment only and mixed-use on ridership and cost (Figures 10 and 11).
FIGURE 10: Estimated Effects of Increasing Density on Annual Ridership for the North Rail Corridor in the Year 2025
FIGURE 11: Estimated Effects of Increasing
