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MODELLING THE DAILY TRAFFIC FLOWS ON AN HOURLY BASIS

更新时间:2007-8-27  来源:tranbbs  作者:佚名  人气:  [ 投稿 ] [投稿帮助
  es and speeds on the entire network for each hour of the day. With this new degree of refinement, it becomes possible to assess much more precisely the environmental aspects of the road network. This model has been successfully applied for the city of Basel, Switzerland, using a network of 330 traffic zones, 2200 street links and 220 countposts with hourly counts. Starting with an outdated AM-peak O-D matrix only, we were able to define three basic states which resulted in an all-day model with an overall tex2html_wrap_inline3247 of 94%, when comparing predicted vs observed hourly volumes. The model forms the base for the computation of the emissions of the various air pollutants.

Introduction

Most of the transportation planning methods which are applied in practice TODay use steady-state assignments which are based on a 24-hour period, the morning and/or the evening peak hour.

The 24-hour models try to model the average daily traffic on the network links by assigning a daily trip matrix. Since the entire day is modelLED by a single state, these models cannot take into account variations of the travel patterns during the day, such as those resulting from temporary congestion during peak periods. Thus, their use is essentially limited to non-urban contexts, in which congestion effects are neglectable.

In peak-hour models, congestion effects can better be taken into account, since the assumed steady state extends to the considered peak period only. Depending on the aim of the study, either the morning peak, the evening peak or both are considered. With this type of model, the planner tries to simulate the "worst case", i.e. the periods in which the ne

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