Figure 1: Coefficients
and
for the crude 2-state model.
Encouraged by the results of the 2-state model, we added a third state, OP (Off-Peak). As the associated demand, we simply took the symmetric part of
, assuming that the non-directionality of trips was indicative of off-peak trip patterns
The results of this 3-state model are shown in Figure 2. The
values for the day-time hours were now nearing or even surpassing 90% - up by about 10% from the 2-state model. Not surprisingly, the best fit was obtained for hour 07h, i.e. the AM-peak hour which
was representing. The interpretation of the AM and PM coefficients is still similar as in the 2-state model, except that now tertiary peaks are visible around 19h (AM) and






